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Energy & Oil-Risk Index

Attention to energy & oil-supply risk - driven by geopolitical shocks (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran, Hormuz) and OPEC/price events.

Current

209

above avg

Baseline

100

historical avg

Peak

424

all-time

Updated

07-03

2026

What drove the spikes

424
2026-04-08
357
2025-06-19
343
2026-06-21
316
2026-01-09
295
2026-05-29
264
2020-01-09
223
2022-03-09
206
2022-09-07

How this index is validated

Full validation report
TestResultVerdict
Tracks stress (vs oil volatility)0.78 correlationCoincident
Catches major events55%, ~6 daysReal-time flag
Spikes are new narratives+0.9 SD noveltyConfirmed
Predicts marketsno edge (tested)No, by design
Predicts the economyleads next-month CPIConfirmed lead

Descriptive validation, measured not asserted. How these tests work.

Cite this index

FinanceLab. Energy & Oil-Risk Index. https://financelab.ai/indexes/energy-oil-risk (data through 2026-07-03).

Descriptive news-attention index. Free to view, share, and cite. Full history and the underlying labeled coverage are available via the FinanceLab API.